SportsPac12: 2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 7 Predictions
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2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 7 Predictions

October 11, 2018

Week Seven Pac-12 Football Predictions

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Arizona (3-3) at Utah (3-2)
Friday, October 12, 7:00 p.m., ESPN
Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT

Straight-Up : Utah in a Comfortable Win
Against the Spread: Utah (-14)

The Wildcats benefitted from four turnovers last week in defeating Cal, including two pick-sixes, while scoring just 10 points on offense. That probably won't get it done against the Utes, who forced four turnovers of their own at Stanford, and also piled up 421 yards and 40 points. If Utah running back Zack Moss has another 100-yard game, and quarterback Tyler Huntley plays anywhere near as well as he did against the Cardinal, this one could get ugly. Arizona quarterback Khalil Tate needs to play better for the Cats to have a chance against the resurgent Utes.

Notes: Utah leads the all-time series 22-19-2, and won last year's meeting 30-24. Arizona's 265 yards of total offense against Cal was the fewest in a win since totaling 265 against ASU in 2009. Despite a couple lopsided non-conference loses, the Wildcats have held each of their first three Pac-12 opponents to 24 points or fewer for the first time since 2008. Moss became the 14th player in Utah history to reach 2,000 yards rushing with 160 yards on 20 carries against Stanford.  


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#7 Washington (5-1) at #17 Oregon (4-1)
Saturday, October 13, 12:30 p.m. PT, ABC
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR

Straight-Up: Oregon in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Oregon  (+3.5)

The last time the Huskies faced quarterback Justin Herbert, he was a true freshman making his first start on the worst Oregon team in decades. Washington's defense, which has allowed just three touchdown passes all season, will be getting its first real look at the potential No. 1 NFL draft pick, who's averaging three touchdown passes per game. Oregon is 17-7 with more than one week to prepare since 2008, but forget the trends and stats. This is a grudge game between two teams that really don't like each other; it's likely to turn on the emotional swings of big plays and mistakes. The revenge-crazed Autzen crowd should be a factor.

Notes: The Dawgs lead the all-time series 60-45-5 after defeating the Ducks without Herbert last year, 38-3 in Seattle. UW wideout Aaron Fuller surpassed 100 yards receiving for the fourth time last week, while Myles Gaskin recorded his 22nd career 100-yard game rushing. Herbert has thrown a TD pass in 20 consecutive games, and hasn’t thrown an interception on the road in conference play in 161 consecutive attempts. UO wideout Dillon Mitchell has caught a pass in 10 straight games.

 

UCLA (0-5) at California (3-2)
Saturday, October 13, 4:00 p.m. PT, Pac-12 Network
Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA

Straight-Up Pick: California in a Close Win
Against the Spread: California (+7)

There's good reason to believe the struggling Bruins have improved beyond their winless record. Few teams would have beaten all five of UCLA's opponents in any case, in light of their combined records of 25-3. No. 7 Washington certainly got all it wanted last week. The Bears, meanwhile, seem headed in the opposite direction, as they continue to seek a dependable quarterback. Brandon McIlwain threw three interceptions against the Wildcats last week, two of which were returned for touchdowns. If the Bruins can match their score total against the Huskies, they may have a chance to pull off the upset.

Notes: UCLA leads the all-time series 54-33-1 after winning last year's meeting 30-27. Bruin QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for a career-high 272 yards last week. RB Joshua Kelley set career-highs for receiving yards (39) and rushing yards (125), becoming the first UCLA running back since 2015 to record back-to-back 100-yard games. Cal has started three different quarterbacks in a season for the first time since 2005, the last season in which a Bears quarterback other than McIlwain had rushed for two touchdowns. 


#19 Colorado (5-0) at USC (3-2)
Saturday, October 13, 7:30 p.m. PT, FS1
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA

Straight-Up: Colorado in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Colorado (-7.5) 

To remain unbeaten, the Buffs will have to defeat the Trojans for the first time in their history, while also ending USC's 18-game home winning streak. Given the productiveness of Laviska Shenault, Steven Montez, and Travon McMillian—coupled with a stout defense—few still doubt that Colorado is capable of getting the job done. But the Trojans have the talent to play with anyone, and a bye week should have given them the preparation time needed to keep the contest close behind the rushing of Aca'Cedric Ware and Stephen Carr. USC's formidable home-field advantage could tip the game in the Trojans' favor, if Colorado doesn't bring its best game.

NotesThe Trojans lead the all-time series 12-0-0, including last year's 38-24 victory in Boulder. The Buffs are 2-0 in Pac-12 play for the first time in eight years. McMillan recorded his fourth 100-yard game last week, becoming the first CU running back to have four 100-yard games in the first five weeks of the season since Rashaan Salaam in 1994. USC linebacker Cameron Smith's 7.4 tackles per game ranks second in the Pac-12 and fourth nationally.