SportsPac12: 2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 10 Predictions
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2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 10 Predictions

November 01, 2018

Week 10 Pac-12 Football Predictions

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Colorado (5-3, 2-3) at Arizona (4-4, 2-3)
Friday, November 2, 7:30 p.m. PT, FS1
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ

Straight-Up: Arizona in a Comfortable Win
Against the Spread: Arizona  (-3)

The Buffs are reeling from their third straight loss, the worst and most recent of them, a shocking upset to Oregon State. The sting of such losses often linger into the following week. But Colorado won't find any sympathy in Tucson. The Cats outplayed the other Oregon school last week in every way, inflicting real pain without playing dirty. Khalil Tate and the UA's hard-hitting backfield need to replicate their performance against CU, and not revert to the team that lost to BYU, Houston, and UCLA. Were Colorado to get the sensational Laviska Shenault Jr. back, that could make all the difference. As of this writing, his status remains uncertain. Unless the Buffs come to the desert energized and ready to get physical, Arizona will likely knock them out of the South race. 

Notes: Colorado leads the all-time series 14-6, but Arizona won last year's shootout in Boulder, 45-42. The Buffs started three freshmen on the offensive line last week for the first time in their history. Steven Montez became only the fifth CU player to throw for more than 6,000 yards with his 319 yards against the Beavers. J.J. Taylor joined Ka'Deem Carey and Tate as the only players to have two 210+ yard games in a season with his 212 yards against the Ducks.

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#14 Utah (6-2, 4-2) at Arizona State (4-4, 2-3)
Saturday, November 3, 1:00 p.m. PT, Pac-12 Networks
Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Straight-Up: Utah in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Utah  (-3)

Utah seems to have everything going its way, but ranked teams often fall in Tempe. This game feels like a "pick 'em." The Utes have played four straight complete games, and don't have a glaring weakness for Arizona State to exploit. The Devils found the toughness they were seeking last week in Los Angeles, coming from behind and winning away from home for the first time this season. And for offensive prowess, it's tough to top the trio of Manny Wilkins, N'Keal Harry, and Eno Benjamin. But when you compare how each team fared against Stanford, Utah's suffocating defense stands out. The game should be as exciting as it is close, and could come down to the final drive, if not the final play.

Notes: ASU leads the all-time series 21-8, and dominated last year's meeting in Salt Lake City 30-10. Utah has scored 40+ points in four straight games for the first time since 2004. Zack Moss had his first career 200-yard game rushing at UCLA with 211, and a career-best three touchdowns. Harry's numbers continue to stagger: a touchdown catch in 33 straight games for 2,468 career receiving yards, the most in Sun Devil history.

UCLA (2-6, 2-3) at Oregon (5-3, 2-3)
Saturday, November 3, 4:30 p.m. PT, FOX
Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR

Straight-Up Pick: Oregon in a Comfortable Win
Against the Spread: Oregon (-9)

The climax for UCLA in Chip Kelly's much-anticipated return to Autzen Stadium could be the chorus of cheers that are likely to come during his pregame introduction. With Justin Herbert and Dillon Mitchell expected to play, the Ducks should be as dialed-in and motivated as they've been all season. A failure to shake off two tough losses could send their once-promising season down in flames. Kelly's Bruins are capable of giving any team problems for a series or two, but don't seem experienced enough to win this year in Eugene. With a seventh setback, Kelly will have lost as many total games in 10 weeks (and more games in conference) than in his entire four years at Oregon. Clearly, rebuilding will take time.

Notes: UCLA leads the all-time series 40-28, and won last year's meeting in Pasadena 41-13. Theo Howard has caught a pass in 24 straight games. and his six receptions against Utah made him the 25th wideout in Bruin history with 100+ career catches. Herbert extended his nation-leading streak of at least one touchdown pass to 24 games, but threw his first pick in 215 attempts on the road. Mitchell has caught a pass in 13 consecutive games.


#14 Stanford (5-3, 3-2) at Washington (6-3, 4-2)
Saturday, November 3, 6:00 p.m. PT, Pac-12 Network
Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA

Straight-Up: Washington in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Stanford (+10) 

This was supposed to be one of the biggest Pac-12 games of the season, an epic showdown between two ranked teams to determine the champion of the North, if not a spot in the playoffs. Instead, Saturday's game pitting the Huskies and the Cardinal features two teams limping—literally and figuratively—toward an uncertain future. Both remain mathematically in the Division race, but it would be unwise to do any calculating before the game. If Bryce Love catches fire, UW could be in trouble. Otherwise, Husky Stadium should provide enough advantage to keep the Dawgs on track for what could be one of the most high-stakes Apple Cup in years.

Notes: Washington leads the all-time series 42-32-4, but Stanford won last year's meeting on the Farm 30-22.  K.J. Costello has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 12 straight games. Love passed Toby Gerhart for fourth on Stanford's career rushing list with his 71 yards against WSU. Ben Burr-Kirven led the Huskies in tackles for the eighth time in nine games with his 14 tackles at California. He leads the Pac-12 with 122 tackles, and ranks second in the nation with 13.6 stops per contest.

USC (4-4, 3-3) at Oregon State (1-4, 2-6)
Saturday, November 3, 7:00 p.m. PT, FS1
Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR

Straight-Up: Oregon State in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Oregon State (+15.5) 

Everyone who has picked Oregon State this season has been burned. Why go out on a limb again? The Beavers looked different at Colorado. Not just in coming from behind and winning. Not just in believing in themselves and not giving up. No, in the second half, OSU looked more crisp on offense, and more cohesive on defense. They looked like a better team. USC looks like a program in disarray, having just fired its offensive line coach and ripped the play-calling stripes from the shoulders of its offensive coordinator. However, getting starting middle linebacker Cameron Smith back from injury could turn the game in favor of the Trojans. USC has nothing to gain by beating OSU, other than to stave off additional humiliation. The Beavers, who always seem to get up for Trojans, have nothing to lose, and everything to gain. 

Notes: USC has dominated the all-time series 62-11-4, with four of OSU's victories coming between 2000-2010 in Corvallis. Trojan wideout Michael Pittman Jr. had a team-high six receptions against ASU, and leads the Pac-12—and is ninth nationally—with 20.8 yards per reception. Jemar Jefferson recorded his fourth 100+ yard game last week, giving him 1,034 yards rushing on the season. He needs to average 128 yards in his remain four games to break the Pac-12 freshman rushing record set by Oregon's LaMichael James in 2009. 

California (5-3, 2-3) at #8 Washington State (7-1, 4-1)
Saturday, November 3, 7:45 p.m., ESPN
Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA

Straight-Up : Washington State in a Comfortable Win
Against the Spread: Washington State (-10)

As impressive as the Bears were last week, it took some mistakes and misjudgments by Washington—including freshman Jake Haener's telegraphed throw in the direction of Evan Weaver—to push them over the top. Which isn't to say Cal can't win in Pullman. The Cougars can't afford to overlook anyone, especially with a target in the shape of a No. 8 CFP ranking on their jerseys. But preparedness and focus have been the hallmarks of this Wazzu team. They've played with the discipline of Navy Seals, executing Mike Leach's Air Raid offense with surgical precision. Cal will have to play flawless and get some breaks to beat the Cougars.

Notes: Cal leads the all-time series 47-27-5 after upsetting the identically ranked No. 8 Cougars 37-3 last year in Berkeley. The Bears won last week without an offensive touchdown for the first time since 1998, downing the Huskies in Berkeley for the first time since 2008. Gardner Minshew II has thrown for 300+ yards in eight straight games, surpasinig 400 yards five times. WSU has won 11 home games in a row for the first time since 1928.