SportsPac12: 2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 11 Predictions
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2018 Pac-12 Football - Week 11 Predictions

November 09, 2018

N'Keal Harry hauls in a pass at USC | Getty Images

Week 11 Pac-12 Football Predictions

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UCLA (2-7, 2-4) at Arizona State (5-4, 3-3)
Saturday, November 10, 11:00 a.m. PT 
Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Straight-Up: Arizona State in a Comfortable Win
Against the Spread: Arizona State  (-12.5)

ASU's N'Keal Harry, Eno Benjamin, and Manny Wilkins are too explosive for UCLA's young and rebuilding defense. And the Bruins continue to discover new problems that need to be fixed: Such as not having a special teams coach, which may explain some of the lapses against Oregon. In short, UCLA isn't quite ready to pull off an upset against the Sun Devils. Nonetheless, as the only remaining team in the South that controls its own destiny, Arizona State can't afford to take anything for granted.

Notes: UCLA leads the all-time series 20-13-1, and won last year's meeting 44-37 in Pasadena. Joshua Kelley recorded his fifth 100-yard game of this season with 161 yards against Oregon, while adding a career-best six receptions. Harry extended his streak of a catch in each of his career games to 34 against Utah, and increased his career touchdown total to 22.

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#8 Washington State (8-1, 5-1) at Colorado (5-4, 2-4)
Saturday, November 10, 12:30 p.m. PT, ESPN
Folsom Field, Boulder, CO

Straight-Up: Washington State in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Washington State  (-4.5)

There isn't enough evidence to suggest Colorado has a realistic chance against high-flying WSU. The Cougars weren't bothered by the elevation at Wyoming. They haven't been intimidated by opposing crowds. Even a close, one-score game against Cal didn't rattle them. Getting Laviska Shenault Jr. back, as expected, would give the Buffs an offensive boost, perhaps making the game closer. But the return of one of the best players in the Conference won't be enough to overcome Wazzu's precision Air Raid.

Notes: Colorado leads the all-time series 6-5, but lost last year's meeting 28-0 in Pullman. Gardner Minshew has thrown for 300+ yards in nine straight games. Eleven different receivers caught passes from him vs. Cal. Steven Montez posted his fifth 300-yard game with a 343-yard performance against Arizona, making him only the fifth player in CU history to have thrown for 7,000 yards.

Oregon (6-3, 3-3) at Utah (6-3, 4-3)
Saturday, November 10, 2:30 p.m. PT, Pac-12
Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT

Straight-Up Pick: Oregon in a Close Win
Against the Spread: Oregon (+3.5)

That the Ducks remain underdogs against the Utes despite season-ending injuries to both QB Tyler Huntley and RB Zack Moss speaks volumes about Oregon's recent road struggles. Stopping Utah's revamped offense should be easier with freshman Jason Shelly at quarterback, but scoring against the Utes' defense still figures to be tough. The Ducks need to start fast and spice up their play-calling in order to take full advantage of Justin Herbert's skill set and win. Expect an inspired performance from the Utes.

Notes: Oregon leads the all-time series 22-9, including last year's 41-10 victory in Eugene. Ugochukwu Amadi's 56-yard punt return against UCLA was the first by a Duck since 2015. Herbert has thrown 19 touchdowns against just two picks in his nine career games on the road. Moss' season ended with 1,092 yards rushing, while Huntley concluded 2018 with 1,788 yards passing. 


#14 Oregon State (2-7, 1-5) at Stanford (5-4, 3-3)
Saturday, November 10, 6:00 p.m. PT, Pac-12 Network
Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA

Straight-Up: Stanford in a Blowout Win
Against the Spread: Stanford (-22.5) 

It wouldn't be surprising if the Cardinal lack motivation to play the Beavers; they aren't accustomed to being out of the Conference race so early in November. But while Stanford may not have a chance of playing in a major bowl, any Pac-12 win would feel like a major bowl victory to Oregon State. That being said, the Tree has too much size and talent, at least this year, for the Beavs to threaten them on the Farm. Look for OSU to keep it interesting for a half or so, with Stanford pulling away in the fourth quarter.

Notes: Stanford leads the all-time series 48-32-1, narrowly escaping Corvallis with a 15-14 victory last season. Jake Luton became the first OSU quarterback with back-to-back 300+ yard passing games since Sean Mannion in 2014 with his 301 yards vs USC. Bobby Okereke made a team-high 11 tackles for Stanford against Washington, his third double-digit tackling game of the season.

Cal (5-4, 2-4) at USC (5-4, 4-3)
Saturday, November 3, 7:00 p.m. PT, FS1
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA

Straight-Up: USC in a Close Win
Against the Spread: USC (-5.5) 

The Bears arrive in Los Angeles still stinging from their agonizing loss at Washington State. Many questioned the decision to change quarterbacks near the end: Would Cal have beaten WSU with Chase Garbers in the game on that red zone drive? To beat USC, the Bears need to turn the page on that question, and seize their new opportunity. Cal can beat USC with a flawless defensive performance, and a more cohesive offensive game plan than the one they employed in Pullman. 

Notes: USC leads the all-time series 69-30-5. That includes the last 13 straight, and a 30-20 victory last year in Berkeley. The Bears held the Cougars to their lowest output of the season at 19 points. Cal has two of the Pac-12's top three tacklers in Evan Weaver and Jordan Kunaszyk, who have 103 and 95 respectively. USC gained a season-high 509 yards vs OSU, and posted a season-best six sacks..